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February 2019 - Uncertainty looms as Brexit deadline approaches

The Brief

February 11, 2019

Uncertainty looms as Brexit deadline approaches

With less than two months until the March 29 deadline for the United Kingdom to withdraw from the European Union, dubbed Brexit, Johns Hopkins SAIS experts examine its potential effects across the U.K. and beyond.

Confusion still exists among those who voted for Brexit, according to Director of European and Eurasian Studies Erik Jones, who discussed on the Knowledge@Wharton podcast that “while there was a popular majority to leave the European Union, there has never been a majority in the United Kingdom around what the leaving should look like.” Listen here

Assistant Professor of International Political Economy Matthias Matthijs said on a Council on Foreign Relations podcast that British Prime Minister Theresa May’s goal is to reach a deal which “respects the referendum results, but also saves jobs and saves supply chains.” Listen here

Henry A. Kissinger Center for Global Affairs Wilson E. Schmidt Distinguished Professor Christopher Hill told Bloomberg Businessweek that Brexit discussions have led British leaders to ask themselves: “Are we still at the top of the international league table, or do we have to accept the consequences of our relative decline?” Read more

Distinguished Practitioner-in-Residence at the Philip Merrill Center for Strategic Studies John McLaughlin, wrote in OZY that after Brexit, “Germany — even in transition — would be the powerhouse in Europe.” Read more

Despite any potential fallout following Brexit, Assistant Professor of International Relations and European Studies Alice Pannier does not expect it to affect the U.K.-France defense and security cooperation. She told Jane’s Intelligence Review: “The [Lancaster House] treaties have resulted in an institutionalization process between both countries.” Read more

The Brief highlights Johns Hopkins SAIS expertise on current events and is produced monthly by the Office of Marketing and Communications.