Dr. Siniša Vuković is Senior Lecturer of Conflict Management and Global Policy, and the Director of the Master of Arts in Global Policy Program (MAGP). Previously, he was the Associate Director of the Conflict Management Program (2018-2021). His research focuses on various forms of international conflict resolution, negotiation and mediation. He has published in a range of scholarly journals such as Journal of Peace Research, Cooperation and Conflict, Global Policy, The Washington Quarterly, Studies in Conflict and Terrorism, Swiss Political Science Review, Millennium Journal of International Studies, International Journal of Conflict Management, International Negotiation, Asia and the Pacific Policy Studies, and Ethnopolitics, policy-relevant outlets such as Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, European Council on Foreign Relations, World Economic Forum, Sustainable Security, and Policy Forum, and contributed to several edited volumes with book chapters. His is the author of International Multiparty Mediation and Conflict Management (Routledge, 2017), and Rethinking Conflict Management and Resolution (with I. William Zartman; Edward Elgar, 2023), and the co-editor of Revisiting the Ripeness Debate (with Tetsuro Iji; Routledge, 2022). His current book projects include: The International Negotiation Process (with P. Terrence Hopmann), and The Research Handbook on the Politics of International Agreements (with P. Terrence Hopmann, Edward Elgar, 2024). He has taught a variety of undergraduate and graduate courses related to the field of conflict management, with a particular focus on the process of negotiation and mediation. He is also a visiting professor at the Institute of Security and Global Affairs, Leiden University, and at the Amsterdam University College, University of Amsterdam. He received his PhD in International Relations and Conflict Resolution at Leiden University, an MA in International Relations and Diplomacy from Leiden University and The Netherlands Institute of International Relations “Clingendael”, and a BA (laurea) in Political Science from University of Rome “La Sapienza”. He is the recipient of many research grants, including “Rubicon” from the Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research (NWO), and Gerda Henkel Foundation research grant.
BooksEdited volumesSpecial issue – editor- Rim, H. & Vuković, S. (2024), Maritime competition and cooperation in the Indo-Pacific. Pacific Review (forthcoming).
- Vuković, S., Dora Dore, G. M., & Paz, G. (2024). Peacebuilding and its discontents: exogenous and endogenous trends in post-agreement Colombia. Global Policy, 15(S3)
- Owsiak, A., Vuković, S., & Druckman, D. (2024). Managing the Complexity of Contemporary Conflicts. International Journal of Conflict Management, 35(1)
- Vuković, S., & Iji, T. (2022). Revisiting the “Ripeness” Debate. Ethnopolitics, 21(2)
- Zartman, I.W., & Vuković, S. (2019). New Diplomacy for New Conflicts. Global Policy, 10(2)
Peer-review academic and policy journals- Vuković, S., Dore, G.M.D. & Paz, G. (2024) Emerging trends in peacebuilding: The case of Colombia. Global Policy, 15(S3), 5-13.
- Owsiak, A., Druckman, D., & Vuković, S. (2024). Embracing the complexity of international conflict management. International Journal of Conflict Management, 35(1), 1-3.
- Druckman, D., Vuković, S., & Verbeek, N. (2024). Rebel Group Legitimacy, Ideology and Durable Peace. International Journal of Conflict Management. 35(1), 215-241
- Vuković, S., & Fechner, P. J. (2023). China´s behavior and ambitions to become a norm-maker in the South China Sea dispute. Asian Perspective 47(2), 247-265
- Vuković, S., & Boland, I. (2022). Expanding the radicalization framework: a case study of Tajik migration to Russia. Asian Perspective 46(3), 473-500
- Vuković, S., & Martin, D. (2022). When do Mediators Say ‘No’: US’ Resistance to Mediate the Gulf Diplomatic Crisis. Negotiation Journal, 38(2), 257-283
- Vuković, S. (2022). Expanding Ripeness Beyond Push and Pull: The Relevance of Mutually Enticing Opportunities (MEOs). Ethnopolitics, 21(2), 190-201.
- Sticher, V., & Vuković, S. (2021). Bargaining in Intrastate Conflicts: The Shifting Role of Ceasefires. Journal of Peace Research, 58(6), 1284-1299.
- Vuković, S. (2020). Peace Mediators as Norm Entrepreneurs: The EU’s Norm Diffusion Strategy in Montenegro’s Referendum on Independence. Swiss Political Science Review, 26(4), 449-467.
- Vuković, S., & Alfieri, R. (2020). Halting and Reversing Escalation in the South China Sea: A Bargaining Framework. Global Policy, 11(5), 598-610.
- Vuković, S. (2020). The Many Faces of Power in Diplomatic Negotiations. The SAIS Review of International Affairs, 40(2), 45-57.
- Vuković, S., & Bernabei, D. (2019). Refining Intractability: A Case Study of Entrapment in the Syrian Civil War. International Negotiation, 24(3), 407-436.
- Vuković, S. (2019). International Multiparty Mediation: Prospects for a Coordinated Effort. Global Policy, 10(S2), 76-83.
- Rahman, E., & Vuković, S. (2019). Sympathy for the Devil: When and How to Negotiate with Criminal Gangs–Case of El Salvador. Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, 42(11), 935-952.
- Vuković, S., & Alfieri, R. (2018). Bumping, Precedents, and De‐escalation in South China Sea: Options for the United States and China. Asia & the Pacific Policy Studies, 5(3), 665-671.
- Vuković, S. (2017). A “pracademic” jewel. [Review of “Conflict management in international missions: A field guide”. O. Ofstad]. Peace and Conflict: Journal of Peace Psychology, 23(1), 101-102.
- Shirvani, T., & Vuković, S. (2015). After the Iran Nuclear Deal: Europe's Pain and Gain. The Washington Quarterly, 38(3), 79-92.
- Vuković, S. (2015). Soft Power, Bias and Manipulation of International Organizations in International Mediation. International Negotiation, 20(3), 414-443.
- Vuković, S. (2014). Three Degrees of Success in International Mediation. Millennium-Journal of International Studies, 42(3), 966-976.
- Vuković, S. (2014). International Mediation as a Distinct Form of Conflict Management. International Journal of Conflict Management, 25(1), 61-80.
- Vuković, S. (2012). Coping with Complexity: Analyzing Cooperation and Coordination in Multiparty Mediation Processes. International Negotiation, 17(2), 265-293.
- Vuković, S. (2011). Strategies and Bias in International Mediation. Cooperation and Conflict, 46(1), 113-119.
- Vuković, S. (2010). International Mediation of Civil Wars: Bargaining with Bullets. Acta Politica, 45(4), 504-506.
Edited volumes- Vuković, S. (2024). Identity and Peace Negotiations: Lessons for Theory and Practice. In Meerts, P., and Anstey, M. (eds.), Negotiating Identity. Manchester University Press. (forthcoming)
- Vuković, S., & Martin, D. (2023). When do Mediators Say ‘No’: US’ Resistance to Mediate the Gulf Diplomatic Crisis. In Fraihat, I. and Svensson, I. (eds.), Mediation in the Arab World. (pp. 245-279) Syracuse University Press.
- Vuković, S. & Fechner, P.J (2023) Norm-contestation in the South China Sea Dispute. In Rim, H. J. & Platte, J. (eds.), Indo-Pacific Strategies and Foreign Policy Challenges: The US-China Strategic Competition. (pp. 79-97). Routledge
- Vuković, S. (2021). International Mediation and Norm Diffusion. In Turner, C. (ed.), ReThinking Peace Mediation. (pp. 37-53). Bristol University Press.
- Vuković, S. (2020). Debunking the Myths of International Mediation: Conceptualizing Bias, Power and Success. In Hosli M.O. and Selleslaghs J. (eds.), The Changing Global Order. (pp. 429-451). Springer
- Vuković, S. (2019). Securitization and Conflict Management. In Butler, M. (ed.), Securitization, Revisited: Contemporary Applications and Insights. (pp. 145-167). Routledge
- Vuković, S. (2019). EU Mediation in Montenegro: Satisficing, Formulation and Manipulation in International Mediation. In Schuessler, R. (ed.), Focal Points in Negotiation. (pp. 175-201). Palgrave Macmillan. pp. 175-201.
- Vuković, S. (2019). Mediating Closure: Driving toward Mutually Enticing Opportunities (MEOs). In Zartman, I.W. (ed.), When is Enough? How Negotiations End. (pp. 185-200). Cambridge University Press
- Vuković, S., & Hopmann, P.T. (2019). Satisficing in International Mediation: Framing, Justifying and Creating Outcomes in Peacemaking. In Wilkenfeld J., Beardsley K. and Quinn D. (eds.). Research Handbook on Mediating International Crisis. (pp. 109-123). Edward Edgar.
- Vuković, S. (2017). International Multiparty Mediation. In Georgakopolos, A. (ed.), The Handbook of Mediation: Theory, Research and Practice. (pp. 305-315). New York, NY: Routledge
- Vuković, S. (2015). Serbia: Moderation as a Double-Edged Sword. In Zartman, I.W. (ed.), Arab Spring: Negotiations in the Shadow of Intifadat (pp. 364-361). Athens, GA: University of Georgia Press.
- Meerts, P., & Vuković, S. (2015). Reputation and Egotiation: The Impact of Self-Image on the Negotiator. In Martinovsky, B. (ed.), Emotion in Group Decision and Negotiation (pp. 73-99). Amsterdam: Springer.
- Vuković, S. (2014). EU mediation in Montenegro: Normative Power as a Source of Linkage Strategies and Non-Material Side Payments. In Andreatta, F. and Castelli, E. (eds.), Solutions and Failures in Identity Conflicts (pp. 205-225). Trento: FBK Press.
- Groeneveld-Savisaar, M., & Vuković, S. (2011). Terror, Muscle and Negotiation: Failure of Multiparty Mediation in Sri Lanka. In Zartman, I.W. & Faure, G.O. (eds.), Engaging Extremists: Trade-Offs, Timing and Diplomacy (pp. 105-135). Washington DC: US Institute of Peace Press.
Expert reports- Vuković, S. (2019), Engineering an Endgame in Afghanistan. The Wilson Centre, Asia Program. Washington, DC.
- Janjić, D., Kisić, I., Mihajlović, M., Risheg, F., Vuković, S., & Jovanović, V. (2019), Review Report on Monitoring the Internal Dialogue on Kosovo. Forum for Ethnic Relations. Belgrade.
- Vuković, S. (2019), The Regional Impact of Protracted Belgrade-Pristina Negotiations
- A View from Montenegro (SWOT Analysis), CEPS. Belgrade.
Articles in policy outlets- Vuković, S. & Alfieri, R. (2023) Negotiating with Gangs: Lessons From the 2012 Truce in El Salvador. SAIS Review of International Affairs. April 23.
- Johns Hopkins SAIS Faculty and Fellow Reflections: The War in Ukraine at One Year. SAIS Review of International Affairs. February 24, 2023.
- Vuković, S (2022) “Time for Diplomacy " - Negotiations for Conflict Resolutions. The Young Diplomats. Diplomatic Academy of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Montenegro. May 17.
- Vuković, S. (2022) Ukrainian-Russian Negotiations. The SAIS Europe Journal of Global Affairs. The Analyst Interview Project. March 12.
- Vuković, S., & Ruge, M. (2020) What Montenegro’s future government means for the Western Balkans. European Council for Foreign Relations. September 15.
- Vuković, S., & Bernabei, D. (2019) Podcast: Intractable Syria — Case Study of What Does and Does Not Lead to an Unmanageable Crisis #humanitiesmatter
- Vuković, S. (2018). Why die for Montenegro? The post-Helsinki question that shocked NATO and amused Moscow. Policy Forum, July 25. (Featured in POLITICO)
- Vuković, S., & Rahman, E. (2018). The Gang Truce in El Salvador. Oxford Research Group: Sustainable Security.
- Vuković, S., & Rahman, E. (2018). Negotiating with Criminal Gangs. Oxford Research Group: Sustainable Security.
- Joseph, E., & Vuković, S. (2016). Montenegro’s NATO Bit: A Litmus Test for Trump’s Russia Policy, Foreign Affairs, December 22.
- Serwer, D., & Vuković, S. (2016). This Is What It Looks Like When Russia Really Wants to Mess With Your Election, Foreign Policy, November 8.
- Vuković, S. (2016). “Iran’s elections and nuclear deal”, Policy Forum, April 21.
- Shirvani, T., & Vuković, S. (2015). Tehran’s Power Lobby: How Energy Concerns Drive the Nuclear Deal. Foreign Affairs, June 24.
- Shirvani, T., & Vuković, S. (2015). “What Next After the Iran’s Nuclear Deal?”, World Economic Forum, November 26.
The course provides an in-depth study of the current state of the art of international mediation. The aim is to systematically approach the various uses, techniques, and problems of using mediation as a form of third party intervention to manage, resolve, or transform international conflicts. The course will offer an analysis of the history and development of international mediation as a distinct form of conflict management. The students will also get familiar with various factors that affect both the process and the outcome of international mediation. Frist of all, the course will cover a variety of contextual factors that condition any process of international mediation, such as the nature of the dispute (i.e. levels of intractability, degree of violence used, and issues at stake), disputants’ characteristics (i.e. power symmetries and asymmetries in conflict, strategies and tactics used in conflict, and capacities to rally international support) and mediators’ characteristics (i.e. perceived credibility, reputation, bias, interests and leverage which they may employ in the dispute). Secondly, the course will also provide an analysis of various behavioral factors (i.e. mediation strategies) that affect the process and outcome of international mediation. Finally, the students will also study the importance of specific types of agreements that are reached through mediation and their particular impact on both the short and long run. After completing the course the students will be able to better analyze and understand international conflicts and indicate how and why international mediation takes place.
Examines phases of conflict and techniques that may be introduced at various stages of conflict to halt escalation, minimize violence, and to move conflicts towards resolution. This includes an analysis of the prevention of violent conflicts, crisis management, negotiations to terminate violent conflict, the resolution and/or transformation of conflicts, and post conflict peace-building. Special emphasis will be placed on the role of third parties, such as international institutions, state governments, eminent persons, and NGOs in conflict management.
Sixteen students selected through an application process participate in a research trip to a designated conflict or post-conflict-region during the spring break. Students plan and coordinate the trip in close cooperation with Professor Vukovic. During the trip over spring break, students interview local government officials and representatives of the international community, NGOs, academia, and the media in order to assess the role of the international community and prospects for progress in the region. Students select a specific area of focus and write a separate analysis and review of their findings to present in a final report at SAIS after the trip. Note: successful completion of this course fulfils the capstone requirement for second-year MAIR students.
Examines phases of conflict and techniques that may be introduced at various stages of conflict to halt escalation, minimize violence, and move conflicts towards resolution. This includes an analysis of the prevention of violent conflicts, crisis management, the resolution and/or transformation of conflicts, and post conflict peace-building. The course also analyses the impact of the negotiation process on the outcomes of negotiations in both theory and practice, including the role of individual negotiators, domestic politics, cultural context, and the international environment. Special emphasis will be placed on the role of third parties, such as international institutions, state governments, eminent persons, and NGOs in conflict management.
Note: Only open to students in the Global Policy Program
In this introductory residency, students learn about the MAGP degree and are exposed to various policy perspectives from SAIS faculty and policy practitioners. This course is open to enrollment by MAGP students only.